[نبض القلم]

the area of convection previously located near 8.5n 57.2e,
is now located near 9.9n 56.5e, approximately 325 nm east-southeast
of cape guardafui, Somalia. Recent animated multispectral imagery
shows well defined low- and mid-level cyclonic turning with deep
convection associated with convergence along the western periphery
of system. Environmental analysis shows the system in approximately
20kts of vertical wind shear and near an upper level outflow source
that is providing good venting. Maximum sustained surface winds are
estimated at 20 to 25 knots. Minimum sea level pressure is estimated
to be near 1006 mb. The potential for the development of a
significant tropical cyclone within the next 24 hours remains fai